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SPM-2
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1994a
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Easterling, and Mearns, 2000, Climatic Change
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2000
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temperature record
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temperature record
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(1994a)
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distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
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Kuntz-Duriseti and Azar (2000)
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(2003)
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Impacts
- Five
Numeraires
- Schneider,
Kuntz-Duriseti and Azar 2000

- Scientists
report global warming kills 160,000 annually
- Root
and Schneider, 2002
- Root
et al., 2003
- Parmesan
and Yohe, 2003
- Thomas
et al., 2004
- Daily,
1997
- Overpeck,
Webb, and Webb III, 1992
- Schneider
and Root, 1998
- Moss
and Schneider
- Morgan
and Keith
- Nordhaus
- Probability
distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
- Schneider,
1997b
- National
Academy of Sciences, 1991
- Probability
distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
- Roughgarden
and Schneider, 1999
- Nordhaus,
W.D., 1994

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surface temperature
- Single
probability density function
- Forest et al.
- Working
Group III - SRES
- What
is 'Dangerous' Climate Change?”
- Can
We Estimate the Likelihood of Climatic Changes at 2100?
- Grübler
and Nakicenovic (2001)
- Schneider,
2001
- Moss
and Schneider, 2000
- 'Mediarology'
- Climate
Modeling
- Next:
What is the Probability of “Dangerous” Climate Change?


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and Schneider, 2004
- Roughgarden
and Schneider, 1999
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W.D., 1994
- IPCC 2001b
- SPM-1
- adaptation
of the IPCC Reasons for Concern figure
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- Jones,
2000
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1983
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and Kuntz-Duriseti, 2002
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- b
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2001b
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TS-2
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Summary
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2001b
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al., 1999
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- EMPTY LINK TEXT
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- EMPTY LINK TEXT
- Source: USGS - Understanding Climate Change Effects on
Glacier National Park's Natural Resources
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2002a
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9.1
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19
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9.1
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2001a
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1
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2003a
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(2002a)
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- Schneider, 2001
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- IPCC Working Group II, TAR
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19
- Climate
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1999
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2002
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- 1996
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et al., 1999
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- adaptation of the IPCC Reasons for Concern
figure
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- Figure SPM2
- IPCC TAR SPM
- Nordhaus'
(1992)
- Andronova and Schlesinger (2001)
- Forest et
al. (2001)
- probability
distribution figure, below
- Roughgarden and Schneider (1999)

- Probability distributions
- Mastrandrea and Schneider, 2004
- Mastrandrea
and Schneider's figure

- EMPTY LINK TEXT
- The modeled relationship between the PRTP
— a factor determining the discount rate — and the probability
of DAI in 2100
- EMPTY LINK TEXT
- adaptation of the IPCC Reasons for Concern
figure
- Mastrandrea and Schneider, 2004
- Mastrandrea and Schneider's figure relating
PRTP to DAI

- The modeled relationship between carbon
taxes in 2050 (a proxy for general climate policy controls) and the probability
of DAI in 2100
- adaptation of the IPCC Reasons for Concern
figure
- Mastrandrea and Schneider, 2004
- Climate Policy
- CO2 concentration, temperature and
sea level
- IPCC Synthesis Report
- figure 5-2
- CO2 concentration, temperature and
sea level
- Three climate sensitivities
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- CO2 concentration,
temperature and sea level
- Contrarian
Science
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et al., 2004
- CO2 concentration, temperature and sea level
- Schiermeier, 2004a
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- CO2concentration, temperature and sea level
- IPCC Synthesis Report
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& Rodhe (1997)
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2000
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P.R. and J.P. Weyant,
eds., 1999
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C. and Parry, M., 1994
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H. M., Riha S., Wilks D., Rossiter D., Sampath R., 1993
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S.H., 1996c
- T
E Downing (ed.)
- Morgan
G., Dowlatabadi H., 1996
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C. D., Kelly, D. L., Mitchell G., 1999
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Academy of Sciences, 1991
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N.J. (ed.)
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and Parry, 1994
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et al., 1996
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et al., 1994
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R., Nordhaus W., Shaw D., 1996
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R., Morrison W., Schlesinger M., Andronova N., 2000
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T.R, Parry M. L., Harasawa H., Nishioka S., 1994
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G.W., 1991
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and Dowlatabadi, 1996
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1997d
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and Narayanan, 1996
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and Dowlatabadi, 1996
- Toth et al. 1997
- Alcamo
and Kreileman, 1996
- IPCC
stabilization scenarios
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- EPA ozone website
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ozone website
- Funtowicz and Ravetz, 1993
- Kuhn,
1962
- Jerry Ravetz's website's
- discussion of post-normal science

- What
is the Probability of “Dangerous” Climate Change?
- UNFCCC
- Climate Science
- Climate
Impacts
- What
is the Probability of “Dangerous” Climate Change?
- Climate
Impacts
- Root and Schneider, 2002
- Earth's surface temperature
- CO2 concentrations
- Reasons for climate impact concerns
- Probability distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
- Five Numeraires
- The
Climate Change Challenge
- Wynne,
1992
- “Mediarology”
- Holling
(1973, 1986)
- Schneider,
Turner and Morehouse Gariga, 1998
- Climate Surprises and a Wavering Gulf Stream?
- IPCC
1996a
- Rahmstorf,
2000
- Weyant
et al. (1996)
- Morgan
and Dowlatabadi (1996)
- Rotmans
and van Asselt (1996)
- Parson
(1996)
- Rothman and Robinson (1997)
- Schneider
(1997b)
- Root
and Schneider, 2003
- Easterling
et al., 2001
- Harvey,
2000b
- SMIC,
1972
- IPCC
1996a
- Climate Modeling
- Trenberth,
1992
- Scientists Create Highest Resolution Global Climate
Simulations,
- Simulating the Earth's Climate
- Root and Schneider, 1993
- Root and Schneider, 1995
- Root and Schneider,
2003
- Schiermeier, 2004b
- MacCracken et al., 2004
- Strategic Cyclical Scaling.Root and Schneider, 1995
- Root
and Schneider, 2003
- Levin,
1993
- Climate Surprises and a Wavering Gulf Stream?
- Dangerous Climate Impacts and the Five Numeraires
- Alexander et al., 1997
- 1996a
- 2001b
- Projected
effects of global warming
- Vellinga et al.
- Pielke Jr. and Landsea, 1998
- Pielke and Downton, 2000
- Population and wealth...

- economic losses
- IPCC TAR Synthesis Report
- figure 2-7.
- Nicholls et al., 1999
- Office of Science and
Technology
- Foresight website
- Vellinga et al., 2001
- Root et al., 2003
- IPCC, 2001b
- Daily and Ellison, 2002
- Root and Schneider, 2002
- Graves, 2003
- Perrings,
2003
- Nordhaus,
1994b
- Nordhaus and Yang, 1996
- Manne and Richels, 1997
- Nordhaus and Boyer, 2000
- Cline, 1992
- Azar and Sterner, 1996
- Hasselmann et al., 1997
- Schultz and Kasting, 1997
- Mastrandrea and Schneider, 2001
- Lind, 1982
- Portney and Weyant, 1999
- Note 1
- Schneider and Kuntz-Duriseti, 2002
- Ainslie,
1991
- Heal,
1997
- Weitzman,
2001
- Azar and Johansson, 1996
- Climate Surprises
- What
is the Probability of “Dangerous” Climate Change?
- Solow,
1974a
- Solow,
1974b
- Howarth 2000
- Gerlagh and van der Zwaan, 2001
- Manne and Stephan, 1999
- "Adaptation
Day at COP9" report
- Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994
- Note 2
- Rosenberg and Scott, 1994
- Hanemann, 2000
- Mendelsohn et al., 1994
- Schlenker et al., 2003
- Mendelsohn et al.
- Schneider,
1997b
- Kaiser et al., 1993
- Schneider, 1996c
- Morgan and Dowlatabadi, 1996
- Kolstad et al., 1999
- Schneider, Easterling and Mearns, 2000
- Note 3
- Schneider and Thompson, 1985
- NAS,
1991
- Note
4
- Rosenberg, 1993
- Note 5
- Schneider, 1996c
- Note6
- Schlenker et al., 2003
- Carter et al., 1994
- Note 7
- Yohe, 1991
- Note 8
- Miller and Brown, 2000
- Perrings,
2003
- Consequences of global warming: Regional Impacts
- climate change impacts
- IPCC WG II, SPM
- IPCC, 2001b
- Azar
and Rodhe, 1994
- Mastrandrea and Schneider, 2004
- Climate Surprises and a Wavering Gulf Stream?"
- Atlantic thermohaline circulation
- Schneider and Thompson, 2000
- Moss and Schneider, 2000
- Moss and Schneider
- M1 to M4

- M1 to M4
- Jones, 2000
- Schneider and Kuntz-Duriseti, 2002
- Webster et al., 2003
- Cascade of uncertainties
- Climate Impacts
- Probability distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
- Cascade of uncertainties
- Three climate sensitivities
- NAS,
1991
- Note
3
- Revkin
- Holdren,
2004
- Feder,
2003
- John
Holdren's 2003 presentation at the Institutional Investors' Summit on Climate
Risk
- "How Bush and Co. Obscure the Science"
- AESR Briefing
Paper
- Senator Byrd's May 2004 speech
- Contrarians
- "US Says Misunderstood on Climate Change Policy"
- "The Warming Is Global but the Legislating, in the U.S., Is All
Local"
- Kousky and Schneider,
2003
- "New Allies in the Energy Wars"
- "Region struggles on greenhouse emissions goals"
- "Valley firms to fight global warming"
- Sonoma County's climate
website
- Kousky and Schneider, 2003
- "State Officials
Feel the Heat On Global-Warming Steps"
- "Fed Up - Northeast Efforts to Reduce Greenhouse Gases Thwarted
by Feds"
- "White
House Attacked for Letting States Lead on Climate"
- What
is the Probability of “Dangerous” Climate Change?
- Titus et al., 1996
- Morgan and Dowlatabadi, 1996
- Box
1
- climate change impacts
- Berlin Mandate
- COP3
- WRE, 1996
- Toman et al., 1999
- Weyant,
1999
- (Schneider and Azar)
- IPCC,
1996a
- Richels and Edmonds, 1995
- Manne & Richels (1997)
- IPCC
Third Assessment Report (TAR) working group (WG) III, chapter 2
- IPCC 2001c
- Schneider and Azar
- IPCC 2001b, chapter 19
- climate change impacts
- IPCC, 2001a
- Climate Sensitivity
- IPCC stabilization scenarios
- IPCC (1996a)
- Azar & Rodhe, 1997

- Azar and Rodhe (1997)
- IPCC stabilization scenarios
- IPCC stabilization scenarios
- Perrings,
2003
- UNFCCC, 1992
- IPCC, 1996a
- Schneider and Azar, 2001
- Perrings,
2003
- California Climate Action
Registry
- Green House Network
- Manne & Richels (1992)
- 1994
- 1996a
- 1996b
- Yohe and Wallace (1996)
- Lempert and Schlesinger (2000)
- Ha-Duong et al. (1997)
- Narain and Fisher (2003)
- Fisher (2001)
- Next:
Implications of Uncertainty

- Previous:
Uncertainty and Sustainability
- (Nordhaus,
1994b)
- Manne et al. (1995)
- Peck & Teisberg (1993)
- Cline
(1992)
- Azar and Sterner (1996)
- Roughgarden & Schneider (1999)
- Schultz & Kastings (1997)
- Howarth
(2000)
- Azar & Sterner (1996)
- Heal
(1997)
- Weitzman
(2001)
- Howarth
(2000)
- Azar
(1998)
- Contrarian
Science
- Schneider and Azar (2001)
- Nordhaus (1994a)
- Manne et al. (1995)
- Gjerde et al. (1999)
- Keller et al. (2000)
- Mastrandrea & Schneider (2002)
- Schneider et al. (1998)
- Nordhaus,
1994b
- Manne et al., 1995
- IPCC
2001c, Section 10.1.4.1
- Kolstad, 1996a,
- Ulph
and Ulph (1997)
- Note 1
- Kolstad
(1996a, p. 14)
- Kolstad
1996b, p 232
- Fisher
(2001)
- Narain & Fisher (2003)
- Kolstad (1996a)
- Kolstad
(1996b)
- Gjerde et al. (1999)
- Mastrandrea and Schneider (2002)
- Cliff
diagram
- Roughgarden and Schneider (1999)
- Probability distributions (f(x)) of climate damages
- Wigley et al. (1996)
- Note 2
- Grubb
(1997)
- Ha-Duong et al. (1997)
- Ha-Duong et al. (1997)
- Lovins and Lovins (1997)
- Yohe and Wallace (1996)
- Ha-Duong et al. (1997)
- Note 3
- Yohe & Wallace (1996)
- Rolling Reassessment
- Grubb
(1997)
- Brown and Parkinson (2000)
- Austin
(1997)
- Azar & Dowlatabadi, 1999
- Interlaboratory Working
Group, 2000
- Rosenfeld,
2003
- "Automakers Drop Suits Over Clean-Air Regulation"
- Dale Simbeck's hydrogen presentation
- March 2004
lecture
- "Hybrid-car popularity shifts into overdrive"
- King, 2004
- Margolis & Kammen, 1999a
- One Recipe for a (Mostly) Emissions-Free Economy
- Schneider and Goulder, 1997
- WRE, 1996
- WRE, 1996
- Azar & Dowlatabadi (1999)
- Note 4
- Sanstad,
2000
- Mattsson & Wene (1997)
- Goulder & Schneider (1999)
- Goulder and Schneider (1999)
- "Proposal to Limit Oil and Coal Projects Draws Fire"
- Grubb et al. (1995)
- Goulder and Schneider (1999)
- Dowlatabadi (1996)
- Goulder and Mathai (1999)
- Grubler et al. (1999)
- Goulder and Schneider (1999)
- Schneider
(1997b)
- Dowlatabadi (1996)
- Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology (BEST),
2002
- Azar,
1998
- Schneider & Goulder, 1997
- Janssen & de Vries, 2000
- Note
5
- IIASA/WEC (1995)
- IPCC
(1996c)
- Azar et al. (2000)
- Manne & Richels (1997)
- IPCC 2001c, chapter 8
- Nordhaus,
1990
- Linden
(1996)
- P. 59
- Hannesson
(1998)
- Schneider (1993a)
- Azar & Schneider, 2002
- Note
6

- Global income trajectories
- Azar & Schneider (2002)
- IPCC
WG III, chapter 8
- IPCC
2001c, p. 538
- L.B.
Lindsey (2001)
- page 5 of his report
- King, 2004
- Scenarios for
a Clean Energy Future
- Brown
et al. (2001)
- Gumerman et al. (2001)
- International
Project for Sustainable Energy Paths (IPSEP)
- "Cutting
Carbon Emissions at a Profit: Opportunities for the U.S."
- "Cutting Carbon
Emissions While Making Money"
- Hoffert
et al (1998)
- Last
chance for Kyoto
- International
Cooperation
- Perrings,
2003
- EU welcomes Russia's Kyoto approval
- "Dragged into the fray"
- Houck's, 2003
- Lempert and Schlesinger, 2000
- Roughgarden and Schneider (1999)
- Climate Damages and the Discount Rate
- Note 7
- Weyant
(1999)
- a
quote from Lomborg's 2001 book, The Skeptical Environmentalist
- rebuttal
- report
- Reuters article, "Panel: Danish Environmentalist Work
'Unscientific'"
- McCright and Dunlap, 2000